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1.
Sci Adv ; 10(19): eadj6990, 2024 May 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38728404

RESUMEN

Mosquito-borne diseases like malaria are rising globally, and improved mosquito vector surveillance is needed. Survival of Anopheles mosquitoes is key for epidemiological monitoring of malaria transmission and evaluation of vector control strategies targeting mosquito longevity, as the risk of pathogen transmission increases with mosquito age. However, the available tools to estimate field mosquito age are often approximate and time-consuming. Here, we show a rapid method that combines matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization-time-of-flight mass spectrometry with deep learning for mosquito age prediction. Using 2763 mass spectra from the head, legs, and thorax of 251 field-collected Anopheles arabiensis mosquitoes, we developed deep learning models that achieved a best mean absolute error of 1.74 days. We also demonstrate consistent performance at two ecological sites in Senegal, supported by age-related protein changes. Our approach is promising for malaria control and the field of vector biology, benefiting other disease vectors like Aedes mosquitoes.


Asunto(s)
Anopheles , Aprendizaje Profundo , Mosquitos Vectores , Animales , Anopheles/fisiología , Mosquitos Vectores/fisiología , Malaria/transmisión , Malaria/prevención & control , Espectrometría de Masa por Láser de Matriz Asistida de Ionización Desorción/métodos , Senegal , Espectrometría de Masas/métodos , Envejecimiento/fisiología
2.
Eur J Cell Biol ; 103(2): 151416, 2024 Apr 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38636185

RESUMEN

Airway epithelial cells form a physical barrier against inhaled pathogens and coordinate innate immune responses in the lungs. Bronchial cells in people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF) are colonized by Pseudomonas aeruginosa because of the accumulation of mucus in the lower airways and an altered immune response. This leads to chronic inflammation, lung tissue damage, and accelerated decline in lung function. Thus, identifying the molecular factors involved in the host response in the airways is crucial for developing new therapeutic strategies. The septin (SEPT) cytoskeleton is involved in tissue barrier integrity and anti-infective responses. SEPT7 is critical for maintaining SEPT complexes and for sensing pathogenic microbes. In the lungs, SEPT7 may be involved in the epithelial barrier resistance to infection; however, its role in cystic fibrosis (CF) P. aeruginosa infection is unknown. This study aimed to investigate the role of SEPT7 in controlling P. aeruginosa infection in bronchial epithelial cells, particularly in CF. The study findings showed that SEPT7 encages P. aeruginosa in bronchial epithelial cells and its inhibition downregulates the expression of other SEPTs. In addition, P. aeruginosa does not regulate SEPT7 expression. Finally, we found that inhibiting SEPT7 expression in bronchial epithelial cells (BEAS-2B 16HBE14o- and primary cells) resulted in higher levels of internalized P. aeruginosa and decreased IL-6 production during infection, suggesting a crucial role of SEPT7 in the host response against this bacterium. However, these effects were not observed in the CF cells (16HBE14o-/F508del and primary cells) which may explain the persistence of infection in pwCF. The study findings suggest the modification of SEPT7 expression as a potential approach for the anti-infective control of P. aeruginosa, particularly in CF.

3.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 2152, 2024 Mar 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38461311

RESUMEN

SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) circulated cryptically before being identified as a threat, delaying interventions. Here we studied the drivers of such silent spread and its epidemic impact to inform future response planning. We focused on Alpha spread out of the UK. We integrated spatio-temporal records of international mobility, local epidemic growth and genomic surveillance into a Bayesian framework to reconstruct the first three months after Alpha emergence. We found that silent circulation lasted from days to months and decreased with the logarithm of sequencing coverage. Social restrictions in some countries likely delayed the establishment of local transmission, mitigating the negative consequences of late detection. Revisiting the initial spread of Alpha supports local mitigation at the destination in case of emerging events.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Epidemias , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2/genética
4.
Minerva Anestesiol ; 90(3): 172-180, 2024 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38287776

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Corticosteroids have become standard of care for COVID-19 but their effect on the systemic immune-inflammatory response has been little investigated. METHODS: Multicenter prospective cohort, including critically ill COVID-19 patients between March and November 2020. C-reactive protein (CRP), lymphocyte count and fibrinogen levels were collected upon hospital admission before initiation of steroid treatment and at ICU admission, three days and seven days later, along with interleukin (IL)-6, IL-10 and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) plasma levels. RESULTS: A hundred and fifty patients were included, 47 received corticosteroids, 103 did not. Median age was 62 [53-70], and 96 (65%) patients were mechanically ventilated. Propensity score matching rendered 45 well-balanced pairs of treated and non-treated patients, particularly on pre-treatment CRP levels. Using a mixed model, CRP (P=0.019), fibrinogen (P=0.003) and lymphocyte counts (P=0.006) remained lower in treated patients over ICU stay. Conversely, there was no significant difference over the ICU stay for Il-6 (P=0.146) and IL-10 (0.301), while TNF- α levels were higher in the treated group (P=0.013). Among corticosteroid-treated patients, CRP (P=0.012), fibrinogen (P=0.041) and lymphocyte count (P=0.004) over time were associated with outcome, whereas plasma cytokine levels were not. CONCLUSIONS: Steroid treatment was associated with an early and sustained decrease in the downstream IL-6-dependent inflammatory signature but an increase in TNF-α levels. In corticosteroid-treated patients, CRP and lymphocyte count were associated with outcome, conversely to plasma cytokine levels. Further research on using these biomarker's kinetics to individualize immunomodulatory treatments is warranted.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Interleucina-6 , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Interleucina-10 , Factor de Necrosis Tumoral alfa , Estudios Prospectivos , Enfermedad Crítica/terapia , Citocinas , Proteína C-Reactiva , Corticoesteroides , Fibrinógeno , Esteroides
5.
Infect Dis Model ; 9(1): 1-9, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38090610

RESUMEN

In the European Union, mass vaccination against COVID-19 staved off the strict restrictions that had characterized early epidemic response. Now, vaccination campaigns are focusing on booster doses, and primary vaccinations have all but halted. Still, 52 million European adults are unvaccinated. We investigated if reaching the still unvaccinated population in future vaccination campaigns would substantially decrease the current burden of COVID-19, which is substantial. We focused on vaccination homophily, whereby those who are unvaccinated are mostly in contact with other unvaccinated, making COVID-19 circulation easier. We quantified vaccination homophily and estimated its impact on COVID-19 circulation. We used an online survey of 1,055,286 people from 22 European countries during early 2022. We computed vaccination homophily as the association between reported vaccination status and perceived vaccination uptake among one's own social contacts, using a case-referent design and a hierarchical logistic model. We used this information in an analysis of the COVID-19 reproduction ratio to determine the impact of vaccine homophily in transmission. Vaccination homophily was present and strong everywhere: the average odds ratio of being vaccinated for a 10-percentage-point increase in coverage among contacts was 1.66 (95% CI=(1.60, 1.72)). Homophily was positively associated with the strictness of COVID-19-related restrictions in 2020 (Pearson = 0.49, P = .03). In the countries studied, 12%-to-18% of the reproduction ratio would be attributable to vaccine homophily. Reducing vaccination homophily may curb the reproduction ratio substantially even to the point of preventing recurrent epidemic waves. In addition to boosting those already vaccinated, increasing primary vaccination should remain a high priority in future vaccination campaigns, to reduce vaccination homophily: this combined strategy may decrease COVID-19 burden.

6.
J Extracell Vesicles ; 12(8): e12352, 2023 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37525398

RESUMEN

The tetraspanins CD9, CD81 and CD63 are major components of extracellular vesicles (EVs). Yet, their impact on EV composition remains under-investigated. In the MCF7 breast cancer cell line CD63 was as expected predominantly intracellular. In contrast CD9 and CD81 strongly colocalized at the plasma membrane, albeit with different ratios at different sites, which may explain a higher enrichment of CD81 in EVs. Absence of these tetraspanins had little impact on the EV protein composition as analysed by quantitative mass spectrometry. We also analysed the effect of concomitant knock-out of CD9 and CD81 because these two tetraspanins play similar roles in several cellular processes and associate directly with two Ig domain proteins, CD9P-1/EWI-F/PTGFRN and EWI-2/IGSF8. These were the sole proteins significantly decreased in the EVs of double CD9- and CD81-deficient cells. In the case of EWI-2, this is primarily a consequence of a decreased cell expression level. In conclusion, this study shows that CD9, CD81 and CD63, commonly used as EV protein markers, play a marginal role in determining the protein composition of EVs released by MCF7 cells and highlights a regulation of the expression level and/or trafficking of CD9P-1 and EWI-2 by CD9 and CD81.


Asunto(s)
Vesículas Extracelulares , Tetraspanina 28 , Tetraspanina 29 , Tetraspanina 30 , Movimiento Celular , Vesículas Extracelulares/metabolismo , Proteómica , Tetraspanina 28/metabolismo , Humanos , Células MCF-7 , Tetraspanina 29/metabolismo , Tetraspanina 30/metabolismo
7.
J Cyst Fibros ; 22(5): 901-908, 2023 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37422431

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Pseudomonas aeruginosa (Pa) infection is detrimental to people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). Several clinical and genetic factors predispose to early Pa infections. However, the role of earlier infections with other pathogens on the risk of Pa infection in paediatric pwCF remains unknown. METHODS: Using Kaplan-Meier method, we computed the cumulative incidences of bacterial and fungal initial acquisition (IA) and chronic colonisation (CC) in 1,231 French pwCF under 18 years of age for methicillin-susceptible and resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA and MRSA), Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Haemophilus influenzae, Achromobacter xylosoxidans, and Aspergillus species. Previous infections were analysed as Pa-IA and Pa-CC risk factors using Cox regression models. RESULTS: By 2 years of age, 65.5% pwCF had experienced at least one bacterial or fungal IA, and 27.9% had experienced at least one CC. The median age of Pa-IA was 5.1 years, and Pa-CC was present in 25% pwCF by 14.7 years. While 50% acquired MSSA at 2.1 years, 50% progressed to chronic MSSA colonisation at 8.4 years. At 7.9 and 9.7 years, 25% pwCF were infected by S. maltophilia and Aspergillus spp., respectively. The risk of Pa-IA and Pa-CC increased with IAs of all other species, with hazard ratios (HR) up to 2.19 (95% Confidence interval (CI) 1.18-4.07). The risk of Pa-IA increased with the number of previous bacterial/fungal IAs (HR=1.89, 95% CI 1.57-2.28), with a 16% increase per additional pathogen; same trend was noted for Pa-CC. CONCLUSIONS: This study establishes that the microbial community in CF airways can modulate Pa occurrence. At the dawn of targeted therapies, it paves the way for characterizing future trends and evolution of infections.


Asunto(s)
Fibrosis Quística , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente a Meticilina , Infecciones por Pseudomonas , Niño , Humanos , Adolescente , Preescolar , Anciano , Fibrosis Quística/complicaciones , Fibrosis Quística/epidemiología , Fibrosis Quística/microbiología , Pseudomonas aeruginosa , Sistema Respiratorio , Infecciones por Pseudomonas/diagnóstico , Infecciones por Pseudomonas/epidemiología , Infecciones por Pseudomonas/microbiología , Staphylococcus aureus , Bacterias , Factores de Riesgo
8.
Biomedicines ; 11(6)2023 May 25.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37371620

RESUMEN

Anti-NMDAR encephalitis has been associated with multiple antigenic triggers (i.e., ovarian teratomas, prodromal viral infections) but whether geographic, climatic, and environmental factors might influence disease risk has not been explored yet. We performed a systematic review and a meta-analysis of all published papers reporting the incidence of anti-NMDAR encephalitis in a definite country or region. We performed several multivariate spatial autocorrelation analyses to analyze the spatial variations in the incidence of anti-NMDA encephalitis depending on its geographical localization and temperature. Finally, we performed seasonal analyses in two original datasets from France and Greece and assessed the impact of temperature using an exposure-lag-response model in the French dataset. The reported incidence of anti-NMDAR encephalitis varied considerably among studies and countries, being higher in Oceania and South America (0.2 and 0.16 per 100,000 persons-year, respectively) compared to Europe and North America (0.06 per 100,000 persons-year) (p < 0.01). Different regression models confirmed a strong negative correlation with latitude (Pearson's R = -0.88, p < 0.00001), with higher incidence in southern hemisphere countries far from the equator. Seasonal analyses showed a peak of cases during warm months. Exposure-lag-response models confirmed a positive correlation between extreme hot temperatures and the incidence of anti-NMDAR encephalitis in France (p = 0.03). Temperature analyses showed a significant association with higher mean temperatures and positive correlation with higher ultraviolet exposure worldwide. This study provides the first evidence that geographic and climatic factors including latitude, mean annual temperature, and ultraviolet exposure, might modify disease risk.

9.
Aging Dis ; 14(2): 325-330, 2023 Apr 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37008047

RESUMEN

Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in nursing homes is poorly documented. Using surveillance data of 228 European private nursing homes, we estimated weekly SARS-CoV-2 incidences among 21,467 residents and 14,371 staff members, compared to that in the general population, between August 3, 2020, and February 20, 2021. We studied the outcomes of "episodes of introduction" where one case was first detected and computed attack rates, reproduction ratio (R), and dispersion parameter (k). Out of 502 episodes of SARS-CoV-2 introduction, 77.1% (95%CI, 73.2%-80.6%) led to additional cases. Attack rates were highly variable, ranging from 0.4% to 86.5%. The R was 1.16 (95%CI, 1.11-1.22) with k at 2.5 (95%CI, 0.5-4.5). The timing of viral circulation in nursing homes did not mirror that in the general population (p-values<0.001). We estimated the impact of vaccination in preventing SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Before vaccination's roll-out, a cumulated 5,579 SARS-CoV-2 infections were documented among residents and 2,321 among staff. Higher staffing ratio and previous natural immunization reduced the probability of an outbreak following introduction. Despite strong preventive measures, transmission likely occurred, regardless of building characteristics. Vaccination started on January 15, 2021, and coverage reached 65.0% among residents, and 42.0% among staff by February 20, 2021. Vaccination yielded a 92% reduction (95%CI, 71%-98%) of outbreak probability, and lowered R to 0.87 (95%CI, 0.69-1.10). In the post-pandemic era, much attention will have to be paid to multi-lateral collaboration, policy making, and prevention plans.

10.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 190, 2023 Mar 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36997873

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Multiple factors shape the temporal dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic. Quantifying their relative contributions is key to guide future control strategies. Our objective was to disentangle the individual effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), weather, vaccination, and variants of concern (VOC) on local SARS-CoV-2 transmission. METHODS: We developed a log-linear model for the weekly reproduction number (R) of hospital admissions in 92 French metropolitan departments. We leveraged (i) the homogeneity in data collection and NPI definitions across departments, (ii) the spatial heterogeneity in the timing of NPIs, and (iii) an extensive observation period (14 months) covering different weather conditions, VOC proportions, and vaccine coverage levels. FINDINGS: Three lockdowns reduced R by 72.7% (95% CI 71.3-74.1), 70.4% (69.2-71.6) and 60.7% (56.4-64.5), respectively. Curfews implemented at 6/7 pm and 8/9 pm reduced R by 34.3% (27.9-40.2) and 18.9% (12.04-25.3), respectively. School closures reduced R by only 4.9% (2.0-7.8). We estimated that vaccination of the entire population would have reduced R by 71.7% (56.4-81.6), whereas the emergence of VOC (mainly Alpha during the study period) increased transmission by 44.6% (36.1-53.6) compared with the historical variant. Winter weather conditions (lower temperature and absolute humidity) increased R by 42.2% (37.3-47.3) compared to summer weather conditions. Additionally, we explored counterfactual scenarios (absence of VOC or vaccination) to assess their impact on hospital admissions. INTERPRETATION: Our study demonstrates the strong effectiveness of NPIs and vaccination and quantifies the role of weather while adjusting for other confounders. It highlights the importance of retrospective evaluation of interventions to inform future decision-making.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemias/prevención & control , Estudios Retrospectivos , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Vacunación , Tiempo (Meteorología) , Francia/epidemiología
11.
Int J Infect Dis ; 128: 132-139, 2023 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36608787

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The influenza circulation reportedly declined during the COVID-19 pandemic in many countries. The occurrence of this change has not been studied worldwide nor its potential drivers. METHODS: The change in the proportion of positive influenza samples reported by country and trimester was computed relative to the 2014-2019 period using the FluNet database. Random forests were used to determine predictors of change from demographical, weather, pandemic preparedness, COVID-19 incidence, and pandemic response characteristics. Regression trees were used to classify observations according to these predictors. RESULTS: During the COVID-19 pandemic, the influenza decline relative to prepandemic levels was global but heterogeneous across space and time. It was more than 50% for 311 of 376 trimesters-countries and even more than 99% for 135. COVID-19 incidence and pandemic preparedness were the two most important predictors of the decline. Europe and North America initially showed limited decline despite high COVID-19 restrictions; however, there was a strong decline afterward in most temperate countries, where pandemic preparedness, COVID-19 incidence, and social restrictions were high; the decline was limited in countries where these factors were low. The "zero-COVID" countries experienced the greatest decline. CONCLUSION: Our findings set the stage for interpreting the resurgence of influenza worldwide.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Pandemias , América del Norte , Tiempo (Meteorología)
12.
Clin Infect Dis ; 76(3): e884-e893, 2023 02 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35962785

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The impact of chemoprophylaxis targeting Plasmodium falciparum on Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium ovale, which may remain quiescent as hypnozoites in the liver, is debated. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control analysis of the outcomes of P. vivax and P. ovale infections in imported malaria cases in France among civilian travelers from 1 January 2006, to 31 December 2017. Using adjusted logistic regression, we assessed the effect of chemoprophylaxis on the incubation period, time from symptoms to diagnosis, management, blood results, symptoms, and hospitalization duration. We analyzed the effect of blood-stage drugs (doxycycline, mefloquine, chloroquine, chloroquine-proguanil) or atovaquone-proguanil on the incubation period. We used a counterfactual approach to ascertain the causal effect of chemoprophylaxis on postinfection characteristics. RESULTS: Among 247 P. vivax- and 615 P. ovale-infected travelers, 30% and 47%, respectively, used chemoprophylaxis, and 7 (3%) and 8 (1%) were severe cases. Chemoprophylaxis users had a greater risk of presenting symptoms >2 months after returning for both species (P. vivax odds ratio [OR], 2.91 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.22-6.95], P = .02; P. ovale OR, 2.28 [95% CI, 1.47-3.53], P < .001). Using drugs only acting on the blood stage was associated with delayed symptom onset after 60 days, while using atovaquone-proguanil was not. CONCLUSIONS: Civilian travelers infected with P. vivax or P. ovale reporting chemoprophylaxis use, especially of blood-stage agents, had a greater risk of delayed onset of illness. The impact of chemoprophylaxis on the outcomes of infection with relapse-causing species calls for new chemoprophylaxis acting against erythrocytic and liver stages.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos , Malaria Vivax , Malaria , Plasmodium ovale , Humanos , Atovacuona/uso terapéutico , Plasmodium vivax , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Viaje , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria Vivax/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria Vivax/prevención & control , Cloroquina/uso terapéutico , Quimioprevención
13.
Ann Intensive Care ; 12(1): 74, 2022 Aug 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35962860

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Capillary refill time (CRT) is a valuable tool for triage and to guide resuscitation. However, little is known about CRT kinetics after fluid infusion. METHODS: We conducted a prospective observational study in a tertiary teaching hospital. First, we analyzed the intra-observer variability of CRT. Next, we monitored fingertip CRT in sepsis patients during volume expansion within the first 24 h of ICU admission. Fingertip CRT was measured every 2 min during 30 min following crystalloid infusion (500 mL over 15 min). RESULTS: First, the accuracy of repetitive fingertip CRT measurements was evaluated on 40 critically ill patients. Reproducibility was excellent, with an intra-class correlation coefficient of 99.5% (CI 95% [99.3, 99.8]). A CRT variation larger than 0.2 s was considered as significant. Next, variations of CRT during volume expansion were evaluated on 29 septic patients; median SOFA score was 7 [5-9], median SAPS II was 57 [45-72], and ICU mortality rate was 24%. Twenty-three patients were responders as defined by a CRT decrease > 0.2 s at 30 min after volume expansion, and 6 were non-responders. Among responders, we observed that fingertip CRT quickly improved with a significant decrease at 6-8 min after start of crystalloid infusion, the maximal improvement being observed after 10-12 min (-0.7 [-0.3;-0.9] s) and maintained at 30 min. CRT variations significantly correlated with baseline CRT measurements (R = 0.39, P = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: CRT quickly improved during volume expansion with a significant decrease 6-8 min after start of fluid infusion and a maximal drop at 10-12 min.

14.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 22(7): 977-989, 2022 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35378075

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Schools were closed extensively in 2020-21 to counter SARS-CoV-2 spread, impacting students' education and wellbeing. With highly contagious variants expanding in Europe, safe options to maintain schools open are urgently needed. By estimating school-specific transmissibility, our study evaluates costs and benefits of different protocols for SARS-CoV-2 control at school. METHODS: We developed an agent-based model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in schools. We used empirical contact data in a primary and a secondary school and data from pilot screenings in 683 schools during the alpha variant (B.1.1.7) wave in March-June, 2021, in France. We fitted the model to observed school prevalence to estimate the school-specific effective reproductive number for the alpha (Ralpha) and delta (B.1.617.2; Rdelta) variants and performed a cost-benefit analysis examining different intervention protocols. FINDINGS: We estimated Ralpha to be 1·40 (95% CI 1·35-1·45) in the primary school and 1·46 (1·41-1·51) in the secondary school during the spring wave, higher than the time-varying reproductive number estimated from community surveillance. Considering the delta variant and vaccination coverage in Europe as of mid-September, 2021, we estimated Rdelta to be 1·66 (1·60-1·71) in primary schools and 1·10 (1·06-1·14) in secondary schools. Under these conditions, weekly testing of 75% of unvaccinated students (PCR tests on saliva samples in primary schools and lateral flow tests in secondary schools), in addition to symptom-based testing, would reduce cases by 34% (95% CI 32-36) in primary schools and 36% (35-39) in secondary schools compared with symptom-based testing alone. Insufficient adherence was recorded in pilot screening (median ≤53%). Regular testing would also reduce student-days lost up to 80% compared with reactive class closures. Moderate vaccination coverage in students would still benefit from regular testing for additional control-ie, weekly testing 75% of unvaccinated students would reduce cases compared with symptom-based testing only, by 23% in primary schools when 50% of children are vaccinated. INTERPRETATION: The COVID-19 pandemic will probably continue to pose a risk to the safe and normal functioning of schools. Extending vaccination coverage in students, complemented by regular testing with good adherence, are essential steps to keep schools open when highly transmissible variants are circulating. FUNDING: EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation Horizon 2020, Horizon Europe Framework Programme, Agence Nationale de la Recherche, ANRS-Maladies Infectieuses Émergentes.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Niño , Humanos , Pandemias/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Instituciones Académicas , Vacunación
15.
Front Mol Biosci ; 9: 850261, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35372502

RESUMEN

Cystic fibrosis (CF), due to pathogenic variants in CFTR gene, is associated with chronic infection/inflammation responsible for airway epithelium alteration and lung function decline. Modifier genes induce phenotype variability between people with CF (pwCF) carrying the same CFTR variants. Among these, the gene encoding for the amino acid transporter SLC6A14 has been associated with lung disease severity and age of primary airway infection by the bacteria Pseudomonas aeruginosa. In this study, we investigated whether the single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs3788766, located within SLC6A14 promoter, is associated with lung disease severity in a large French cohort of pwCF. We also studied the consequences of this SNP on SLC6A14 promoter activity using a luciferase reporter and the role of SLC6A14 in the mechanistic target of rapamycin kinase (mTOR) signaling pathway and airway epithelial repair. We confirm that SLC6A14 rs3788766 SNP is associated with lung disease severity in pwCF (p = 0.020; n = 3,257, pancreatic insufficient, aged 6-40 years old), with the minor allele G being deleterious. In bronchial epithelial cell lines deficient for CFTR, SLC6A14 promoter activity is reduced in the presence of the rs3788766 G allele. SLC6A14 inhibition with a specific pharmacological blocker reduced 3H-arginine transport, mTOR phosphorylation, and bronchial epithelial repair rates in wound healing assays. To conclude, our study highlights that SLC6A14 genotype might affect lung disease severity of people with cystic fibrosis via mTOR and epithelial repair mechanism modulation in the lung.

16.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(18): e2103302119, 2022 05 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35476520

RESUMEN

Short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 pandemic is required to facilitate the planning of COVID-19 health care demand in hospitals. Here, we evaluate the performance of 12 individual models and 19 predictors to anticipate French COVID-19-related health care needs from September 7, 2020, to March 6, 2021. We then build an ensemble model by combining the individual forecasts and retrospectively test this model from March 7, 2021, to July 6, 2021. We find that the inclusion of early predictors (epidemiological, mobility, and meteorological predictors) can halve the rms error for 14-d­ahead forecasts, with epidemiological and mobility predictors contributing the most to the improvement. On average, the ensemble model is the best or second-best model, depending on the evaluation metric. Our approach facilitates the comparison and benchmarking of competing models through their integration in a coherent analytical framework, ensuring that avenues for future improvements can be identified.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiología , Atención a la Salud , Francia/epidemiología , Necesidades y Demandas de Servicios de Salud , Humanos , Pandemias/prevención & control , Estudios Retrospectivos
17.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 1414, 2022 03 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35301289

RESUMEN

With vaccination against COVID-19 stalled in some countries, increasing vaccine accessibility and distribution could help keep transmission under control. Here, we study the impact of reactive vaccination targeting schools and workplaces where cases are detected, with an agent-based model accounting for COVID-19 natural history, vaccine characteristics, demographics, behavioural changes and social distancing. In most scenarios, reactive vaccination leads to a higher reduction in cases compared with non-reactive strategies using the same number of doses. The reactive strategy could however be less effective than a moderate/high pace mass vaccination program if initial vaccination coverage is high or disease incidence is low, because few people would be vaccinated around each case. In case of flare-ups, reactive vaccination could better mitigate spread if it is implemented quickly, is supported by enhanced test-trace-isolate and triggers an increased vaccine uptake. These results provide key information to plan an adaptive vaccination rollout.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Lugar de Trabajo , COVID-19/prevención & control , Humanos , Instituciones Académicas , Análisis de Sistemas , Vacunación
19.
J Pers Med ; 12(2)2022 Feb 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35207740

RESUMEN

Lumacaftor/ivacaftor (LUMA-IVA) therapy is prescribed to people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF) homozygous for the Phe508del-CFTR variant to restore CFTR protein function. There is, however, large inter-individual variability in treatment response. Here, we seek to identify clinical and/or genetic factors that may modulate the response to this CFTR modulator therapy. A total of 765 pwCF older than 12 years under LUMA-IVA therapy and with lung function and nutritional measurements available before and after treatment initiation were included. Response to treatment was determined by the change in lung function and nutritional status, from baseline and over the first two years after initiation, and it was assessed by weighted generalized estimating equation models. Gains in lung function and nutritional status were observed after 6 months of treatment (on average 2.11 ± 7.81% for percent predicted FEV1 and 0.44 ± 0.77 kg/m2 for BMI) and sustained over the 2 years. We observed that the more severe patients gained the most in lung function and nutritional status. While females started with a nutritional status more impaired than males, they had a larger response and regained BMI Z-score values similar to men after 2 years of treatment. We observed no association between variants in solute carrier (SLC) genes and the respiratory function response to LUMA-IVA, but the SLC6A14 rs12839137 variant was associated with the nutritional response. Further investigations, including other genomic regions, will be needed to fully explore the inter-individual variability of the response to LUMA-IVA.

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